Apple · Base Ipad

Base iPad

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

We will keep this on your list as the date moves.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

19 February 2027

in about 5 months

Almost certainly between 24 October 2026 and 13 June 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.

Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

9to5Mac
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed 31 December 2026

“A new iPad Air arrived earlier this year, but two more iPads could launch before 2026 ends: an iPad mini with OLED and a new base-model iPad.” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 162 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 24 Oct 2026 to 13 Jun 2027 (232 days wide), with a standard deviation of 91 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 3596230e37acc2f2eb34493d…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

1 March 2027

in about 5 months

Almost certainly between 3 November 2026 and 23 June 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.

Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

9to5Mac
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale 31 December 2026

“A new iPad Air arrived earlier this year, but two more iPads could launch before 2026 ends: an iPad mini with OLED and a new base-model iPad.” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 153 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 3 Nov 2026 to 23 Jun 2027 (232 days wide), with a standard deviation of 92 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 4a6d1021330a6c3b25dc6745…

Where you will be able to buy it

Not known yet Not enough to go on yet

No report so far says which countries this one is for.

no market named in any report.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

1 March 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 3 Nov 2026 to 23 Jun 2027 · 4a6d102133…
19 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 24 Oct 2026 to 13 Jun 2027 · 3596230e37…
28 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 2 Nov 2026 to 22 Jun 2027 · ff2d6cfe4a…
19 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 23 Oct 2026 to 13 Jun 2027 · c851786735…
28 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 2 Nov 2026 to 21 Jun 2027 · 2ee2c71ca7…
19 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 23 Oct 2026 to 11 Jun 2027 · 78b7d9c947…
28 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 1 Nov 2026 to 20 Jun 2027 · 190259eaf2…
18 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 22 Oct 2026 to 10 Jun 2027 · 6d4f02fa9b…
28 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 1 Nov 2026 to 19 Jun 2027 · 546e1a4d89…
18 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 22 Oct 2026 to 9 Jun 2027 · b554af46f0…
28 February 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 31 Oct 2026 to 18 Jun 2027 · 42ca16a21e…
18 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 21 Oct 2026 to 8 Jun 2027 · cda5093183…
27 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 31 Oct 2026 to 17 Jun 2027 · 4a82fb527c…
18 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 21 Oct 2026 to 7 Jun 2027 · 55cee33073…
27 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 30 Oct 2026 to 16 Jun 2027 · 509e275589…
17 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 20 Oct 2026 to 6 Jun 2027 · 8d20c24822…
27 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 30 Oct 2026 to 14 Jun 2027 · 0d16793cdf…
17 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 20 Oct 2026 to 5 Jun 2027 · 2757cb5788…
27 February 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 29 Oct 2026 to 14 Jun 2027 · 530ccd95b7…
17 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 19 Oct 2026 to 4 Jun 2027 · 9dc727d4f0…
26 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 29 Oct 2026 to 12 Jun 2027 · a8ecfb7474…
17 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 19 Oct 2026 to 3 Jun 2027 · fbc7e84873…
26 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 27 Oct 2026 to 12 Jun 2027 · 375379fb55…
16 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 2 Jun 2027 · e17b71c36d…
26 February 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 27 Oct 2026 to 10 Jun 2027 · fd0b935904…
16 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 1 Jun 2027 · d3c28357d7…
25 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 26 Oct 2026 to 9 Jun 2027 · 031385004f…
16 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 17 Oct 2026 to 31 May 2027 · da20d5c489…
25 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 26 Oct 2026 to 13 Jun 2027 · de2f24c504…
15 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 16 Oct 2026 to 3 Jun 2027 · ad85bb9f07…
25 February 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 25 Oct 2026 to 12 Jun 2027 · ef0fa35c54…
14 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 15 Oct 2026 to 2 Jun 2027 · e3b6723416…
24 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 25 Oct 2026 to 11 Jun 2027 · a2f89e6509…
14 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 15 Oct 2026 to 31 May 2027 · 23584d312f…
24 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 23 Oct 2026 to 10 Jun 2027 · bbd0403c7c…
14 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 31 May 2027 · 4a1c30493e…
24 February 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 23 Oct 2026 to 8 Jun 2027 · 86e8ebcd1c…
13 February 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 29 May 2027 · 7ff36eef1a…
23 February 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 22 Oct 2026 to 7 Jun 2027 · 1e84a43bf1…
13 February 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 12 Oct 2026 to 28 May 2027 · ea8dced124…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.