Who actually gets it right
Anyone can say the next iPhone lands in September. Everybody knows that. So we only give credit for the part nobody could have guessed from the calendar — and we work it out after the fact, once the phone is really out.
Being right about something obvious earns nothing.
One lucky guess never puts anyone at the top.
Scores fade over time, because leakers go cold.
- 1 Samsung Global Newsroom Useful
Adds real information.
- 12 days typically off by
- 12 days early leans
- 0 days ahead when they call it
- 3 calls we could check
Are they honest about how sure they are?
A site that says "maybe" when it means maybe is worth more than a confident coin flip. Here is how often each phrasing turned out right.
- Stated as fact said it 3 times, right 100% of the time, off by 12 days on average
- 2 Tweakers Useful Still proving itself
Adds real information.
- 0 days typically off by
- right on leans
- 1 days ahead when they call it
- 2 calls we could check
Are they honest about how sure they are?
A site that says "maybe" when it means maybe is worth more than a confident coin flip. Here is how often each phrasing turned out right.
- Reported said it 2 times, right 100% of the time, off by 0 days on average
- 3 GSMArena Useful Still proving itself
Adds real information.
- 0 days typically off by
- right on leans
- 3 days ahead when they call it
- 1 call we could check
Are they honest about how sure they are?
A site that says "maybe" when it means maybe is worth more than a confident coin flip. Here is how often each phrasing turned out right.
- Stated as fact said it 1 time, right 100% of the time, off by 0 days on average
How someone ends up on this list
Nobody is added by hand. Tech sites come from a list of feeds we read. Individual leakers get added automatically once several unrelated sites credit the same name — so the person who actually broke the story gets the credit, not the twenty sites that rewrote it. New names start out barely counting at all, and only earn real influence once enough of their claims have been checked against reality. Anyone who stays worse than simply reading the calendar quietly stops counting.