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Apple · Ipad Mini

iPad mini

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Rough idea · Somewhere in this season

15 September 2026

in about 4 weeks

Almost certainly between 31 August and 17 November 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

most likelyAug 2026Apr 202731 Aug17 Nov
Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.
Reports behind it 2 separate stories Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last worked out on 19 Aug 2026. We recheck every day.

What changed our mind

  1. MacRumors · picked up by Tecnoblog
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime between September and December 2026

    “A expectativa é que a empresa confirme os primeiros aparelhos no evento de setembro focado em smartphones, reservando os anúncios de Macs, centrais domésticas e iPads para uma segunda apresentação posterior.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 26 days earlier
  2. MacRumors
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime in October 2026

    “Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, who said Apple is planning to release a new iPad mini model with an OLED display by October this year.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 29 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 31 Aug 2026 to 17 Nov 2026 (78 days wide), with a standard deviation of 35 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 12e14a3c17458ae31ef336c3…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Rough idea · Somewhere in this season

26 September 2026

in about 5 weeks

Almost certainly between 11 September and 28 November 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

most likelyAug 2026Apr 202711 Sept28 Nov
Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.
Reports behind it 2 separate stories Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last worked out on 19 Aug 2026. We recheck every day.

What changed our mind

  1. MacRumors · picked up by Tecnoblog
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime between September and December 2026

    “A expectativa é que a empresa confirme os primeiros aparelhos no evento de setembro focado em smartphones, reservando os anúncios de Macs, centrais domésticas e iPads para uma segunda apresentação posterior.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 22 days earlier
  2. MacRumors
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime in October 2026

    “Bloomberg's Mark Gurman, who said Apple is planning to release a new iPad mini model with an OLED display by October this year.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 28 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 11 Sept 2026 to 28 Nov 2026 (78 days wide), with a standard deviation of 35 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash f62a28e07bf8db8ebb3aef10…

Prices reported elsewhere

Currencies we have a price for but no matching launch market. As reported, in the currency they were quoted in — we never convert between currencies, because a converted figure is a number nobody actually printed.

US dollar Rumoured

$599

for the 128GB Wi-Fi-only model — nobody has priced the entry version yet

A leaked figure. Prices move late, so treat it loosely.

The article wrote a bare currency symbol, so we have assumed USD.

1 source, 1 report

What the hardware is

2 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

display

Panel type
OLED Rumoured

performance

Chipset
A19 Pro Rumoured

Still unknown: screen size, refresh rate, resolution, ram, storage, main camera, front camera, rear cameras, battery, wired charging, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Probably worldwide Based on how this product line usually launches

Going on what this line normally does, not on anything said about this phone yet.

iPad normally launches worldwide.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 26 September 2026 On sale First guess

    Worked out on 19 Aug 2026 · range 11 Sept 2026 to 28 Nov 2026 · f62a28e07b…

  2. 15 September 2026 Reveal First guess

    Worked out on 19 Aug 2026 · range 31 Aug 2026 to 17 Nov 2026 · 12e14a3c17…

Other names this device goes by

Model numbers: J510, J511

Codenames used by leakers: J510/J511

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.