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Apple · Ipad Mini

iPad mini

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Fairly sure · Give or take a few days

13 October 2026

in 8 days

Almost certainly between 6 and 25 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.
Reports behind it 10 separate stories Found across 20 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 2 days later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. cnBeta
    Reported

    Says revealed between 31 Oct 2026 and 30 Nov 2026

    “新款iPad mini预计在10月底至11月间的某个时候发布” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 1 day later

    cnBeta usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 5 days later before believing it.

  2. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman · picked up by FoneArena
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime in October 2026

    “the new iPad mini is expected to arrive before the end of October” Read it ↗
    Brand new source Did not move our date

    Bloomberg's Mark Gurman usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 287 days earlier before believing it.

  3. 9to5Mac
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed 31 December 2026

    “A new iPad Air arrived earlier this year, but two more iPads could launch before 2026 ends: an iPad mini with OLED and a new base-model iPad.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Did not move our date
  4. MacRumors · picked up by Tecnoblog
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime between September and December 2026

    “reservando os anúncios de Macs, centrais domésticas e iPads para uma segunda apresentação posterior” Read it ↗
    Strong track record +2 sites repeated it Did not move our date

    MacRumors usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 3 days earlier before believing it.

  5. Sızıntılara göre · picked up by Webtekno
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed between 14 Sept 2026 and 31 Dec 2026

    “Sızıntılara göre yeni iPad mini; OLED ekran, A19 Pro veya A20 Pro çip seçeneği, deliksiz yeni bir hoparlör sistemi ve suya dayanıklı tasarımla güncellenebilir.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Did not move our date

    Sızıntılara göre usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 19 days earlier before believing it.

  6. Tom's Guide
    Guesswork

    Says revealed sometime in October 2026

    “but we could finally see an iPad mini with OLED this October.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 1 day earlier

    Tom's Guide usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 15 days earlier before believing it.

  7. Tom's Guide
    Guesswork

    Says revealed sometime in October 2026

    “when the iPad mini 7 was released” Read it ↗
    Decent track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 1 day earlier

    Tom's Guide usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 15 days earlier before believing it.

  8. 9to5Mac
    Reported

    Says revealed sometime in October 2026

    “New OLED iPad mini expected by the end of October” Read it ↗
    Decent track record +7 sites repeated it Moved our date 1 day earlier
  9. DigiTimes · picked up by MacRumors
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime between January and December 2026

    “iPad mini: 2026” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 1 day earlier

    DigiTimes usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 3 days earlier before believing it.

  10. WinFuture
    Called a rumour

    Says revealed sometime in October 2026

    “Im Oktober wird zudem eine Aktualisierung des iPad mini erwartet.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 11 days earlier

    WinFuture usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 38 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 6 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (19 days wide), with a standard deviation of 8 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 0211b4b252b5f3a931a11e58…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Good guess · Right month, maybe not the day

22 October 2026

in about 2 weeks

Almost certainly between 13 October and 4 November 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.
Reports behind it 10 separate stories Found across 20 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. cnBeta
    Reported

    Says on sale between 31 Oct 2026 and 30 Nov 2026

    “新款iPad mini预计在10月底至11月间的某个时候发布” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 2 days later

    cnBeta usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 5 days later before believing it.

  2. 9to5Mac
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale 31 December 2026

    “A new iPad Air arrived earlier this year, but two more iPads could launch before 2026 ends: an iPad mini with OLED and a new base-model iPad.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 1 day later
  3. MacRumors · picked up by Tecnoblog
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime between September and December 2026

    “reservando os anúncios de Macs, centrais domésticas e iPads para uma segunda apresentação posterior” Read it ↗
    Strong track record +2 sites repeated it Moved our date 1 day later

    MacRumors usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 3 days earlier before believing it.

  4. DigiTimes · picked up by MacRumors
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime between January and December 2026

    “iPad mini: 2026” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Did not move our date

    DigiTimes usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 3 days earlier before believing it.

  5. Tom's Guide
    Guesswork

    Says on sale sometime in October 2026

    “but we could finally see an iPad mini with OLED this October.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Did not move our date

    Tom's Guide usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 15 days earlier before believing it.

  6. Sızıntılara göre · picked up by Webtekno
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale between 14 Sept 2026 and 31 Dec 2026

    “Sızıntılara göre yeni iPad mini; OLED ekran, A19 Pro veya A20 Pro çip seçeneği, deliksiz yeni bir hoparlör sistemi ve suya dayanıklı tasarımla güncellenebilir.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Did not move our date

    Sızıntılara göre usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 19 days earlier before believing it.

  7. 9to5Mac
    Reported

    Says on sale sometime in October 2026

    “New OLED iPad mini expected by the end of October” Read it ↗
    Decent track record +7 sites repeated it Did not move our date
  8. Bloomberg's Mark Gurman · picked up by FoneArena
    Reported Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime in October 2026

    “the new iPad mini is expected to arrive before the end of October” Read it ↗
    Brand new source Did not move our date

    Bloomberg's Mark Gurman usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 287 days earlier before believing it.

  9. Tom's Guide
    Guesswork

    Says on sale sometime in October 2026

    “when the iPad mini 7 was released” Read it ↗
    Decent track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 1 day earlier

    Tom's Guide usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 15 days earlier before believing it.

  10. WinFuture
    Called a rumour

    Says on sale sometime in October 2026

    “Im Oktober wird zudem eine Aktualisierung des iPad mini erwartet.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 9 days earlier

    WinFuture usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 38 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 13 Oct 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 (22 days wide), with a standard deviation of 9 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 2cadecec73890ed88c304f70…

What the hardware is

3 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

1 spec is reported two different ways. Those rows are marked below.

display

Refresh rate
60 Hz Rumoured
Panel type
OLED ✓ 7 sources

performance

Chipset
A20 Pro Sources disagree 4 sources also reported as A19 Pro veya A20 Pro, A19 Pro

Still unknown: screen size, resolution, ram, storage, main camera, front camera, rear cameras, battery, wired charging, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Probably worldwide Based on how this product line usually launches

Going on what this line normally does, not on anything said about this phone yet.

iPad normally launches worldwide.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 22 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · 2cadecec73…

  2. 22 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 12 Oct 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · 5175f73318…

  3. 13 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 0211b4b252…

  4. 20 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 3a61fc1242…

  5. 11 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · d28c8ce201…

  6. 19 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 6bca0fafe5…

  7. 10 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 7950c751e8…

  8. 19 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 · 55c4766d3b…

  9. 9 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · 85b355a583…

  10. 18 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 31 Oct 2026 · 70a98cda9c…

  11. 18 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · 7f8bc78541…

  12. 8 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · b1f2e98026…

  13. 17 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · 89b13d655c…

  14. 7 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · 9625ae32d1…

  15. 6 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · 64cb84f87d…

  16. 16 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 61413c9618…

  17. 6 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · ec5fc43295…

  18. 15 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 970a2f7322…

  19. 15 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 7945782bf0…

  20. 5 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 868c46b160…

  21. 15 October 2026 On sale 8 days earlier

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 62a97b06f5…

  22. 4 October 2026 Reveal 9 days earlier

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · d9095a23eb…

  23. 23 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 13 Nov 2026 · 52e66bdb5e…

  24. 13 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · 1b6432ea2e…

  25. 22 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 12 Nov 2026 · eaa9762193…

  26. 12 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · 6e4f868bab…

  27. 21 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 12 Nov 2026 · 919b63521a…

  28. 11 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · c4245317ee…

  29. 21 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 12 Nov 2026 · 4d4265f2ad…

  30. 11 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · a373f9c8a9…

  31. 21 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 11 Nov 2026 · e654c67fa2…

  32. 10 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 2c13596065…

  33. 20 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 11 Nov 2026 · 3a5cf0ed90…

  34. 10 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 729755d844…

  35. 19 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 9 Nov 2026 · b8f347f368…

  36. 8 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · 85095f14b3…

  37. 18 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 9 Nov 2026 · 04f1fb7ccc…

  38. 7 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · d79dfac6fa…

  39. 7 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · befa2b4d6c…

  40. 17 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 8 Nov 2026 · 3d9c6ad09c…

Other names this device goes by

Codenames used by leakers: J510

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.