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Apple · Iphone Air

iPhone 18 Air 2

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

7 September 2027

in about 11 months

Almost certainly between 14 May and 24 September 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started Its own release rhythm This line has launched on a steady schedule, so we started from when the next one is due.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 255 days later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. MacRumors · picked up by HDblog
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime between January and March 2027

    “come sappiamo dai rumor toccherà aspettare a questo giro ancora qualche mese, fino al primo trimestre del 2027” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 16 days earlier

    MacRumors usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 3 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 14 May 2027 to 24 Sept 2027 (133 days wide), with a standard deviation of 61 days. Starting model: series_cadence+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 8b011de1c3be0c85ede027c9…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

17 September 2027

in about 12 months

Almost certainly between 24 May and 4 October 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started Its own release rhythm This line has launched on a steady schedule, so we started from when the next one is due.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 256 days later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. MacRumors · picked up by HDblog
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime between January and March 2027

    “come sappiamo dai rumor toccherà aspettare a questo giro ancora qualche mese, fino al primo trimestre del 2027” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 18 days earlier

    MacRumors usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 3 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 24 May 2027 to 4 Oct 2027 (133 days wide), with a standard deviation of 61 days. Starting model: series_cadence+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash dc8eefd436f293aa50c5cf0a…

Where you will be able to buy it

Probably worldwide Based on how this product line usually launches

Going on what this line normally does, not on anything said about this phone yet.

iPhone normally launches worldwide.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 17 September 2027 On sale 256 days later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 24 May 2027 to 4 Oct 2027 · dc8eefd436…

  2. 7 September 2027 Reveal 255 days later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 14 May 2027 to 24 Sept 2027 · 8b011de1c3…

  3. 4 January 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 17 Oct 2026 to 29 Mar 2027 · 65e6dddc3d…

  4. 4 January 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 29 Mar 2027 · b915133a7a…

  5. 26 December 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027 · 6f35cf5dfe…

  6. 3 January 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Mar 2027 · 262acb3c14…

  7. 4 January 2027 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Mar 2027 · d24c5256d0…

  8. 25 December 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 18 Mar 2027 · c0a134e9e0…

  9. 2 January 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 15 Oct 2026 to 27 Mar 2027 · 0ba46ec8fd…

  10. 3 January 2027 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 15 Oct 2026 to 27 Mar 2027 · 2b99d882ac…

  11. 24 December 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 18 Mar 2027 · ebab2d0c11…

  12. 1 January 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 14 Oct 2026 to 26 Mar 2027 · be0cff5e97…

  13. 23 December 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 17 Mar 2027 · dc9db01932…

  14. 2 January 2027 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 14 Oct 2026 to 26 Mar 2027 · c4da45e064…

  15. 23 December 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 17 Mar 2027 · 6b405258c2…

  16. 21 December 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 16 Mar 2027 · 73ffbdf7bd…

  17. 31 December 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 25 Mar 2027 · c683664d30…

  18. 22 December 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 16 Mar 2027 · cf17f0778a…

  19. 30 December 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 24 Mar 2027 · 173f97d693…

  20. 20 December 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 15 Mar 2027 · 61044a493a…

  21. 30 December 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 12 Oct 2026 to 24 Mar 2027 · ebcde872fe…

  22. 21 December 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 15 Mar 2027 · 04b41467cc…

  23. 28 December 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 23 Mar 2027 · 062eb08266…

  24. 19 December 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 14 Mar 2027 · 1d200c458c…

  25. 17 December 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 12 Mar 2027 · 7a6533eef3…

  26. 27 December 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 22 Mar 2027 · 8745047829…

  27. 18 December 2026 Reveal 3 days later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 12 Mar 2027 · 863c07e32f…

  28. 25 December 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 21 Mar 2027 · 480dfe8e29…

  29. 15 December 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 11 Mar 2027 · c45d090956…

  30. 26 December 2026 On sale 3 days later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 21 Mar 2027 · c9601fd7c2…

  31. 16 December 2026 Reveal 3 days later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 11 Mar 2027 · 8ebca7c05a…

  32. 23 December 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 20 Mar 2027 · 8351732277…

  33. 13 December 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 10 Mar 2027 · dae919ad9f…

  34. 24 December 2026 On sale 3 days later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 20 Mar 2027 · 0fcbad8173…

  35. 14 December 2026 Reveal 3 days later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 10 Mar 2027 · c0430d6260…

  36. 21 December 2026 On sale 70 days later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 19 Mar 2027 · 2ad6def1c5…

  37. 11 December 2026 Reveal 70 days later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 9 Mar 2027 · 682720d50f…

  38. 12 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 23 Nov 2026 · a56b993645…

  39. 2 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 13 Nov 2026 · db30cf3ee5…

  40. 12 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 24 Nov 2026 · b6685cad38…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.