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MI

Apple · M Ipad Air

M4 iPad Air

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

2 September 2027

in about 11 months

Almost certainly between 13 December 2026 and 21 February 2028 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. 9to5Mac
    Stated as fact

    Says revealed 1 March 2026

    “Apple also introduced the M4 iPad Air in 11-inch and 13-inch sizes.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 15 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 13 Dec 2026 to 21 Feb 2028 (435 days wide), with a standard deviation of 154 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 55cba1312779d1b9cd9a1d65…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

12 September 2027

in about 11 months

Almost certainly between 23 December 2026 and 1 March 2028 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Apple usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Apple normally picks.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. 9to5Mac
    Stated as fact

    Says on sale 1 March 2026

    “Apple also introduced the M4 iPad Air in 11-inch and 13-inch sizes.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 16 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 23 Dec 2026 to 1 Mar 2028 (434 days wide), with a standard deviation of 154 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash fb7be8c692ee171b0dad2397…

What the hardware is

1 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

performance

Chipset
M4 Rumoured

Still unknown: screen size, panel type, refresh rate, resolution, ram, storage, main camera, front camera, rear cameras, battery, wired charging, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Not known yet Not enough to go on yet

No report so far says which countries this one is for.

no market named in any report.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 12 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 23 Dec 2026 to 1 Mar 2028 · fb7be8c692…

  2. 2 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 13 Dec 2026 to 21 Feb 2028 · 55cba13127…

  3. 11 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 20 Dec 2026 to 1 Mar 2028 · 87d4967ba4…

  4. 2 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 11 Dec 2026 to 20 Feb 2028 · 145eacb6ac…

  5. 11 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 18 Dec 2026 to 1 Mar 2028 · c797aeb3de…

  6. 2 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 8 Dec 2026 to 20 Feb 2028 · a2baf59066…

  7. 11 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 15 Dec 2026 to 29 Feb 2028 · 5131a53256…

  8. 2 September 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 6 Dec 2026 to 19 Feb 2028 · 9eaab6bb78…

  9. 11 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 13 Dec 2026 to 29 Feb 2028 · adda698b46…

  10. 1 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 3 Dec 2026 to 19 Feb 2028 · 7b2573131b…

  11. 11 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 10 Dec 2026 to 28 Feb 2028 · e8685b4b13…

  12. 1 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 30 Nov 2026 to 19 Feb 2028 · f8c251839c…

  13. 10 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 7 Dec 2026 to 28 Feb 2028 · 4c33b437d7…

  14. 1 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 27 Nov 2026 to 18 Feb 2028 · 2f3c44743e…

  15. 10 September 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 4 Dec 2026 to 27 Feb 2028 · de48bcb741…

  16. 1 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 24 Nov 2026 to 17 Feb 2028 · e6ec7cab17…

  17. 11 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 4 Dec 2026 to 25 Feb 2028 · 8997d90d8c…

  18. 1 September 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 24 Nov 2026 to 15 Feb 2028 · 7dfd127cad…

  19. 10 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 30 Nov 2026 to 25 Feb 2028 · 17a9982845…

  20. 1 September 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 20 Nov 2026 to 14 Feb 2028 · 3e0e0594cb…

  21. 10 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 26 Nov 2026 to 24 Feb 2028 · 0c059c9ea8…

  22. 31 August 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 16 Nov 2026 to 14 Feb 2028 · 599d4dd76e…

  23. 10 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 22 Nov 2026 to 23 Feb 2028 · 2817458cc9…

  24. 31 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 12 Nov 2026 to 12 Feb 2028 · 2c7283ecca…

  25. 9 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 18 Nov 2026 to 21 Feb 2028 · a648d227a0…

  26. 30 August 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 8 Nov 2026 to 11 Feb 2028 · 44e674c6e2…

  27. 9 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 14 Nov 2026 to 20 Feb 2028 · ca4860331b…

  28. 30 August 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 4 Nov 2026 to 10 Feb 2028 · 007686f1bb…

  29. 8 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 9 Nov 2026 to 18 Feb 2028 · 76b775b5d4…

  30. 30 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 30 Oct 2026 to 8 Feb 2028 · b6059f29e8…

  31. 8 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 5 Nov 2026 to 16 Feb 2028 · 1b7f3ff32d…

  32. 29 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 26 Oct 2026 to 6 Feb 2028 · 3bcda9d897…

  33. 7 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 1 Nov 2026 to 14 Feb 2028 · e61837f4ab…

  34. 28 August 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 22 Oct 2026 to 4 Feb 2028 · e70e769ada…

  35. 7 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 29 Oct 2026 to 11 Feb 2028 · 38f2e6d46a…

  36. 28 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 19 Oct 2026 to 1 Feb 2028 · f04a4d49ce…

  37. 6 September 2027 On sale 8 days later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 25 Oct 2026 to 8 Feb 2028 · 74fd3252cd…

  38. 27 August 2027 Reveal 8 days later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 15 Oct 2026 to 29 Jan 2028 · e9baf09854…

  39. 29 August 2027 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 28 Oct 2026 to 24 Feb 2028 · 904d99f6a2…

  40. 19 August 2027 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 17 Oct 2026 to 13 Feb 2028 · de7a77a243…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.