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AA

FCNT · Arrows Alpha

arrows Alpha2

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Rough idea · Somewhere in this season

14 September 2026

in about 4 weeks

Almost certainly between 24 August and 1 November 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

most likelyAug 2026Dec 202724 Aug1 Nov
Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started The rumours alone Nothing quite like this has launched before, so there is no past pattern to lean on — everything here comes from what people are reporting.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last worked out on 19 Aug 2026. We recheck every day.

What changed our mind

  1. ケータイ Watch
    Stated as fact

    Says revealed 27 August 2026

    “arrows Alpha2が発売される27日にあわせたアップデートでは、計測結果を分析する機能が搭載される。” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 215 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 24 Aug 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 (69 days wide), with a standard deviation of 83 days. Starting model: uninformative+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 7cfd10946d7bd27490e3c397…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Rough idea · Somewhere in this season

27 September 2026

in about 6 weeks

Almost certainly between 4 September and 14 November 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

most likelyAug 2026Feb 20284 Sept14 Nov
Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started The rumours alone Nothing quite like this has launched before, so there is no past pattern to lean on — everything here comes from what people are reporting.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last worked out on 19 Aug 2026. We recheck every day.

What changed our mind

  1. ケータイ Watch
    Stated as fact

    Says on sale 27 August 2026

    “arrows Alpha2が発売される27日にあわせたアップデートでは、計測結果を分析する機能が搭載される。” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 209 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 4 Sept 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (71 days wide), with a standard deviation of 83 days. Starting model: uninformative+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash b00cb0d07339d4d457908ac0…

What the hardware is

2 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

performance

Chipset
Dimensity 8350 Extreme Rumoured

memory

Storage
256 GB Rumoured

Still unknown: screen size, panel type, refresh rate, resolution, ram, main camera, front camera, rear cameras, battery, wired charging, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Not known yet Not enough to go on yet

No report so far says which countries this one is for.

no market named in any report.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 27 September 2026 On sale First guess

    Worked out on 19 Aug 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 · b00cb0d073…

  2. 14 September 2026 Reveal First guess

    Worked out on 19 Aug 2026 · range 24 Aug 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 7cfd10946d…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.