FCNT · Arrows Alpha

arrows Alpha2

It's official

We will keep this on your list as the date moves.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

27 August 2026

Confirmed · about 6 weeks ago

For the record, we had guessed 3 Sept 2026 — 7 days too late.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started The rumours alone Nothing quite like this has launched before, so there is no past pattern to lean on — everything here comes from what people are reporting.

Reports behind it 5 separate stories Found across 5 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 4 days earlier Last changed on 26 Aug 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

ケータイ Watch
Reported

Says revealed 27 August 2026

“arrows Alpha2の市場想定価格は9万4900円から。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date
ケータイ Watch
Reported

Says revealed 27 August 2026

“arrows Alpha2にはメモリやストレージを前モデルと同じ12GB/512GBにそろえたバリエーションも用意されていますが、こちらの想定価格は11万8800円。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date
ケータイ Watch
Stated as fact

Says revealed 27 August 2026

“arrows Alpha2が発売される27日にあわせたアップデートでは、計測結果を分析する機能が搭載される。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 2 days earlier
ケータイ Watch
Stated as fact

Says revealed 27 August 2026

“FCNTの新型スマホ「arrows Alpha2」が本日27日に発売される。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 2 days earlier
GizmoChina
Stated as fact

Says revealed 27 August 2026

“The Arrows Alpha 2 goes on sale in Japan on August 27” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 3 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 27 Aug 2026 to 17 Sept 2026 (21 days wide), with a standard deviation of 9 days. Starting model: uninformative+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 99ea44a9d828f2a77ecc76ee…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

27 August 2026

Confirmed · about 6 weeks ago

For the record, we had guessed 15 Sept 2026 — 19 days too late.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started The rumours alone Nothing quite like this has launched before, so there is no past pattern to lean on — everything here comes from what people are reporting.

Reports behind it 5 separate stories Found across 5 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 4 days earlier Last changed on 26 Aug 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

ケータイ Watch
Reported

Says on sale 27 August 2026

“arrows Alpha2の市場想定価格は9万4900円から。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date
ケータイ Watch
Reported

Says on sale 27 August 2026

“arrows Alpha2にはメモリやストレージを前モデルと同じ12GB/512GBにそろえたバリエーションも用意されていますが、こちらの想定価格は11万8800円。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date
GizmoChina
Stated as fact

Says on sale 27 August 2026

“The Arrows Alpha 2 goes on sale in Japan on August 27” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 2 days earlier
ケータイ Watch
Stated as fact

Says on sale 27 August 2026

“arrows Alpha2が発売される27日にあわせたアップデートでは、計測結果を分析する機能が搭載される。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 2 days earlier
ケータイ Watch
Stated as fact

Says on sale 27 August 2026

“FCNTの新型スマホ「arrows Alpha2」が本日27日に発売される。” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 3 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 4 Sept 2026 to 30 Sept 2026 (26 days wide), with a standard deviation of 10 days. Starting model: uninformative+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash c72d92b7dd78fa1d07f3f4db…

What the hardware is

13 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

3 specs are reported two different ways. Those rows are marked below.

display

Refresh rate: 144 Hz Rumoured
Resolution: 1200x2670 Rumoured
Screen size: 6.4" Rumoured
Panel type: OLED Rumoured

performance

Chipset: Dimensity 8350 Extreme Rumoured 2 sources

memory

Storage: 256 GB Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 512 GB

camera

Front camera: 50 MP Rumoured
Main camera: 50 MP Rumoured

battery

Battery: 5370 mAh Rumoured 2 sources
Wired charging: 90 W Rumoured 2 sources

body

Ingress protection: IPX9 Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as IPX6

connectivity

NFC: Yes Rumoured

software

Operating system: Android 16 Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as Android

Still unknown: ram, rear cameras, height, width, thickness, weight, 5g.

Where you will be able to buy it

One region so far Based on what has been reported about this phone

Only one part of the world has been mentioned. Others may follow — nobody has said either way.

only Japan reported so far.

Country or region	When	Price	How it was put	Who says so
Japan	around 27 Aug 2026 ± 7 days	¥94,900 8GB/256GB model	Reported	1 source across 1 report

These are the places that have actually been mentioned in reports about this phone. A country missing from this list has not been ruled out — nobody writing about an unreleased phone lists the countries it is skipping, so we cannot tell either way.

Who called it right

Now that the real date is known, everyone who made a prediction gets marked. "Too late" means they said a later date than what actually happened.

Source	Which date	How far off	Called it	Score
ケータイ Watch	On sale	Spot on	9 days ahead	+56.58
ケータイ Watch	On sale	Spot on	1 days ahead	+39.97
ケータイ Watch	Reveal	Spot on	1 days ahead	+35.17
ケータイ Watch	Reveal	Spot on	1 days ahead	+35.17

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

15 September 2026 On sale 4 days earlier

Worked out on 26 Aug 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 30 Sept 2026 · c72d92b7dd…
3 September 2026 Reveal 4 days earlier

Worked out on 26 Aug 2026 · range 27 Aug 2026 to 17 Sept 2026 · 99ea44a9d8…
19 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 26 Aug 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · c1111dc853…
7 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 26 Aug 2026 · range 27 Aug 2026 to 27 Sept 2026 · 66d66412b6…
19 September 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 26 Aug 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · 35e045229c…
7 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 26 Aug 2026 · range 27 Aug 2026 to 27 Sept 2026 · 78c713c5d6…
18 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 25 Aug 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · bfd5ada0dd…
6 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 25 Aug 2026 · range 26 Aug 2026 to 27 Sept 2026 · d4898973be…
18 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 25 Aug 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · 1bf74717c5…
6 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 25 Aug 2026 · range 26 Aug 2026 to 27 Sept 2026 · ec2de8292c…
18 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 25 Aug 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · 98fe46d680…
6 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 25 Aug 2026 · range 26 Aug 2026 to 27 Sept 2026 · fe8cf75403…
18 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 24 Aug 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · fa17db9d46…
5 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 24 Aug 2026 · range 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Sept 2026 · 8c5229f366…
18 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 24 Aug 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · 8e2a44f08b…
5 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 24 Aug 2026 · range 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Sept 2026 · d726c643bb…
18 September 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 24 Aug 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · ab2c024538…
5 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 24 Aug 2026 · range 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Sept 2026 · b927bbc2b1…
17 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 23 Aug 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · a02f4222de…
4 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 23 Aug 2026 · range 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Sept 2026 · dc37b62632…
17 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 23 Aug 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 9be44d93b1…
4 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 23 Aug 2026 · range 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Sept 2026 · 49099197d7…
17 September 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 23 Aug 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 35a517fbf4…
4 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 23 Aug 2026 · range 25 Aug 2026 to 26 Sept 2026 · 049e7258a3…
16 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 22 Aug 2026 · range 2 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · ce64c0fb4d…
4 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 22 Aug 2026 · range 24 Aug 2026 to 25 Sept 2026 · 06ba59718c…
16 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 22 Aug 2026 · range 2 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 713e981791…
4 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 22 Aug 2026 · range 24 Aug 2026 to 25 Sept 2026 · e840a3c912…
16 September 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 22 Aug 2026 · range 2 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · abccd25ac6…
4 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 22 Aug 2026 · range 24 Aug 2026 to 25 Sept 2026 · 556e468510…
15 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 21 Aug 2026 · range 1 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · 6188234ae2…
3 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 21 Aug 2026 · range 23 Aug 2026 to 24 Sept 2026 · 6b5e2fedab…
15 September 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 21 Aug 2026 · range 1 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · 07c27f431e…
3 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 21 Aug 2026 · range 23 Aug 2026 to 24 Sept 2026 · d63504929c…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.