Motorola · Motorola Grapheneos

Motorola GrapheneOS phone

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

We will keep this on your list as the date moves.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

10 August 2027

in about 10 months

Almost certainly between 15 February and 17 October 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Motorola usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Motorola normally picks.

Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

Ars Technica
Reported

Says revealed sometime between January and December 2027

“Moto’s GrapheneOS phones are on track to launch in 2027” Read it ↗

Decent track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 7 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 15 Feb 2027 to 17 Oct 2027 (244 days wide), with a standard deviation of 98 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 92aaf69fc33ac993c897bcfb…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

23 August 2027

in about 11 months

Almost certainly between 1 March and 1 November 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Motorola usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Motorola normally picks.

Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

Ars Technica
Reported

Says on sale sometime between January and December 2027

“Moto’s GrapheneOS phones are on track to launch in 2027” Read it ↗

Decent track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 2 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 1 Mar 2027 to 1 Nov 2027 (245 days wide), with a standard deviation of 98 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash e8cabe953c80992a5e1c3a29…

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

Motorola normally launches in Brazil first.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

23 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 1 Mar 2027 to 1 Nov 2027 · e8cabe953c…
10 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 15 Feb 2027 to 17 Oct 2027 · 92aaf69fc3…
22 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 1 Mar 2027 to 1 Nov 2027 · c29d2ec649…
10 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 15 Feb 2027 to 18 Oct 2027 · 1d43967ec5…
22 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 28 Feb 2027 to 1 Nov 2027 · c942343286…
10 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 14 Feb 2027 to 18 Oct 2027 · 8b809d333b…
9 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 14 Feb 2027 to 18 Oct 2027 · 16b8b3bf03…
22 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 28 Feb 2027 to 2 Nov 2027 · 39d033ae33…
9 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 13 Feb 2027 to 18 Oct 2027 · b3f3af5409…
22 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 27 Feb 2027 to 2 Nov 2027 · ff9923e64a…
21 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 26 Feb 2027 to 2 Nov 2027 · d7a8409847…
9 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 12 Feb 2027 to 19 Oct 2027 · 7b9f3032a2…
21 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 26 Feb 2027 to 3 Nov 2027 · 70960a1fb2…
8 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 12 Feb 2027 to 19 Oct 2027 · a7493a969d…
21 August 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 25 Feb 2027 to 3 Nov 2027 · ffc2e0d7b2…
8 August 2027 Reveal 2 days earlier

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 11 Feb 2027 to 19 Oct 2027 · b413bf5f8b…
22 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 1 Mar 2027 to 30 Oct 2027 · 9b9c195ca8…
10 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 15 Feb 2027 to 16 Oct 2027 · 597d5d2ec2…
22 August 2027 On sale 9 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 28 Feb 2027 to 31 Oct 2027 · 25dd7a4117…
9 August 2027 Reveal 4 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 14 Feb 2027 to 16 Oct 2027 · 34bc33ccd4…
13 August 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 5 Mar 2027 to 27 Oct 2027 · 1b982155ad…
5 August 2027 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 25 Feb 2027 to 19 Oct 2027 · 0d97764c0b…
14 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 10 Mar 2027 to 23 Oct 2027 · a275806463…
6 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 1 Mar 2027 to 15 Oct 2027 · 5bbd932050…
14 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 9 Mar 2027 to 24 Oct 2027 · 423ececef5…
6 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 28 Feb 2027 to 16 Oct 2027 · d6f95c59bc…
13 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 8 Mar 2027 to 25 Oct 2027 · c0eaf3e477…
6 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 27 Feb 2027 to 16 Oct 2027 · 1d650ef47b…
13 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 7 Mar 2027 to 25 Oct 2027 · a7524d60a8…
6 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 26 Feb 2027 to 17 Oct 2027 · fb9152b585…
13 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 6 Mar 2027 to 26 Oct 2027 · f984097850…
5 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 26 Feb 2027 to 18 Oct 2027 · e7d578d7cb…
12 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 12 Mar 2027 to 19 Oct 2027 · b9a30652fc…
4 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 3 Mar 2027 to 11 Oct 2027 · 48d75bf87f…
12 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 17 Sept 2026 · range 11 Mar 2027 to 20 Oct 2027 · 072495f13c…
4 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 17 Sept 2026 · range 2 Mar 2027 to 12 Oct 2027 · 4f9e79512d…
12 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 16 Sept 2026 · range 9 Mar 2027 to 21 Oct 2027 · c535452567…
4 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 16 Sept 2026 · range 1 Mar 2027 to 13 Oct 2027 · 5c06d6bd7f…
12 August 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 15 Sept 2026 · range 8 Mar 2027 to 22 Oct 2027 · 13fb6ee93d…
4 August 2027 Reveal No change

Worked out on 15 Sept 2026 · range 28 Feb 2027 to 14 Oct 2027 · e836dfdb15…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.