vivo · Vivo X Ultra

Vivo X500 Ultra

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

We will keep this on your list as the date moves.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Good guess · Right month, maybe not the day

25 March 2027

in about 6 months

Almost certainly between 6 March and 11 April 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started Its own release rhythm This line has launched on a steady schedule, so we started from when the next one is due.

Reports behind it 5 separate stories Found across 7 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 2 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

Kartikey Singh · picked up by GizmoChina
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed sometime between January and June 2027

“their successors, the Oppo Find X10 Ultra and the Vivo X500 Ultra, might stay limited to China when they launch in the first half of 2027” Read it ↗

Brand new source Did not move our date
GizmoChina
Guesswork

Says revealed sometime between March and April 2027

“However, the X500 Ultra isn’t expected to arrive until March or April 2027.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Did not move our date

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
GizmoChina
Stated as fact

Says revealed sometime between March and April 2027

“the company plans to launch the Vivo X500 Ultra by March or April next year.” Read it ↗

Strong track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 1 day earlier

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
GSMArena
Guesswork

Says revealed sometime between January and April 2027

“it will likely arrive on the global stage in early 2027” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 2 days earlier

GSMArena usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
Android Headlines
Stated as fact

Says revealed sometime between March and April 2027

“he said that the Vivo X500 Ultra will debut in China sometime in March or April 2027” Read it ↗

Strong track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 5 days earlier

Android Headlines usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 9 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 6 Mar 2027 to 11 Apr 2027 (36 days wide), with a standard deviation of 14 days. Starting model: series_cadence+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 762a67b77c9a879a244f4bce…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Good guess · Right month, maybe not the day

31 March 2027

in about 6 months

Almost certainly between 13 March and 18 April 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When vivo usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year vivo normally picks.

Reports behind it 5 separate stories Found across 7 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time No change Last changed on 30 Sept 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

GizmoChina
Stated as fact

Says on sale sometime between March and April 2027

“the company plans to launch the Vivo X500 Ultra by March or April next year.” Read it ↗

Strong track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 1 day later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
GizmoChina
Guesswork

Says on sale sometime between March and April 2027

“However, the X500 Ultra isn’t expected to arrive until March or April 2027.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 1 day later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
Kartikey Singh · picked up by GizmoChina
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale sometime between January and June 2027

“their successors, the Oppo Find X10 Ultra and the Vivo X500 Ultra, might stay limited to China when they launch in the first half of 2027” Read it ↗

Brand new source Did not move our date
Android Headlines
Stated as fact

Says on sale sometime between March and April 2027

“he said that the Vivo X500 Ultra will debut in China sometime in March or April 2027” Read it ↗

Strong track record +1 site repeated it Did not move our date

Android Headlines usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 9 days earlier before believing it.
GSMArena
Guesswork

Says on sale sometime between January and April 2027

“it will likely arrive on the global stage in early 2027” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 2 days earlier

GSMArena usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 13 Mar 2027 to 18 Apr 2027 (36 days wide), with a standard deviation of 14 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 30fd3cf99401805fbc39c1cc…

What the hardware is

2 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

2 specs are reported two different ways. Those rows are marked below.

performance

Chipset: Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 Pro Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as Snapdragon 8 Elite Extreme Gen 6

camera

Main camera: 50 MP Sources disagree also reported as 200 MP

Still unknown: screen size, panel type, refresh rate, resolution, ram, storage, front camera, rear cameras, battery, wired charging, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Not known yet Not enough to go on yet

No report so far says which countries this one is for.

reports so far do not settle where it goes on sale.

Country or region	When	Price	How it was put	Who says so
China	sometime between March and April 2027	not known yet	Reported	3 sources across 5 reports, they closely agree

These are the places that have actually been mentioned in reports about this phone. A country missing from this list has not been ruled out — nobody writing about an unreleased phone lists the countries it is skipping, so we cannot tell either way.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

25 March 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 6 Mar 2027 to 11 Apr 2027 · 762a67b77c…
31 March 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 13 Mar 2027 to 18 Apr 2027 · 30fd3cf994…
31 March 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 13 Mar 2027 to 17 Apr 2027 · e60b9f9fe3…
31 March 2027 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 13 Mar 2027 to 18 Apr 2027 · 03fa492ed9…
24 March 2027 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 6 Mar 2027 to 11 Apr 2027 · aab63c1639…
30 March 2027 On sale 1 day earlier

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 12 Mar 2027 to 17 Apr 2027 · a352225e8a…
23 March 2027 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 5 Mar 2027 to 10 Apr 2027 · f2ee6d3d0d…
31 March 2027 On sale 8 days later

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 11 Mar 2027 to 19 Apr 2027 · 376b13561e…
24 March 2027 Reveal 8 days later

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 4 Mar 2027 to 12 Apr 2027 · 4b321270b3…
23 March 2027 On sale 2 days earlier

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 4 Mar 2027 to 13 Apr 2027 · 33e02b7975…
16 March 2027 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Feb 2027 to 5 Apr 2027 · 6f2c969f35…
25 March 2027 On sale No change

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 6 Mar 2027 to 14 Apr 2027 · 31f0ea6995…
25 March 2027 On sale 2 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 5 Mar 2027 to 14 Apr 2027 · f8a4632f0d…
17 March 2027 Reveal 2 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 26 Feb 2027 to 7 Apr 2027 · b5f01aaba6…
23 March 2027 On sale 7 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 26 Feb 2027 to 16 Apr 2027 · 83457f2a64…
15 March 2027 Reveal 6 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 19 Feb 2027 to 8 Apr 2027 · 80272664bc…
16 March 2027 On sale 5 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 13 Feb 2027 to 15 Apr 2027 · 02a9269c09…
9 March 2027 Reveal 5 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 6 Feb 2027 to 8 Apr 2027 · ff4c3a31f6…
11 March 2027 On sale 104 days later

Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 7 Feb 2027 to 12 Apr 2027 · e504b1d125…
4 March 2027 Reveal 105 days later

Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 30 Jan 2027 to 5 Apr 2027 · 181d09cc88…
27 November 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 19 Oct 2026 to 30 Jan 2027 · 4d45b13d18…
19 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 22 Jan 2027 · 98d2c6d333…
19 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Jan 2027 · b3ba0a1936…
27 November 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 30 Jan 2027 · ff7332c936…
27 November 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 17 Oct 2026 to 30 Jan 2027 · 3c52909880…
19 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 23 Jan 2027 · eb453b6ffb…
26 November 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 17 Oct 2026 to 29 Jan 2027 · 86d30c42bb…
19 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 21 Jan 2027 · 076c356bc7…
26 November 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

Worked out on 17 Sept 2026 · range 16 Oct 2026 to 29 Jan 2027 · bc8756f9ec…
19 November 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 17 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 22 Jan 2027 · ac4f463a80…
20 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 17 Sept 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 24 Jan 2027 · be42d0f225…
27 November 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 16 Sept 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 1 Feb 2027 · bfed7323fe…
27 November 2026 On sale 2 days earlier

Worked out on 15 Sept 2026 · range 17 Oct 2026 to 1 Feb 2027 · 0232f9b6b7…
20 November 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 15 Sept 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 24 Jan 2027 · 791747de93…
21 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 14 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Jan 2027 · 5476ee513a…
29 November 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 13 Sept 2026 · range 21 Oct 2026 to 6 Feb 2027 · 2941bd4101…
21 November 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 11 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 30 Jan 2027 · 81492305f1…
29 November 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 10 Sept 2026 · range 21 Oct 2026 to 7 Feb 2027 · 2d37e93b0a…
29 November 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

Worked out on 8 Sept 2026 · range 20 Oct 2026 to 7 Feb 2027 · fe40547e4b…
22 November 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 8 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 31 Jan 2027 · 0ae9dfd8d6…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.