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vivo · Vivo X Ultra

vivo X500 Ultra

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

16 April 2027

in about 8 months

Almost certainly between 14 November 2026 and 27 July 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

most likelySept 2026Nov 202714 Nov27 Jul
Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started The time of year it usually lands This line keeps turning up in the same season, even if the gap between models moves around.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last worked out on 19 Aug 2026. We recheck every day.

What changed our mind

  1. sızıntılar · picked up by Webtekno
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime between January and June 2027

    “İddialara göre 2027'nin ilk yarısında tanıtılması beklenen Oppo Find X10 Ultra ve vivo X500 Ultra modelleri yalnızca Çin pazarında satışa sunulacak.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 60 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 14 Nov 2026 to 27 Jul 2027 (255 days wide), with a standard deviation of 95 days. Starting model: series_seasonal_only+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 014133cc5bb6a6f16ca0f9dc…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

30 April 2027

in about 8 months

Almost certainly between 27 November 2026 and 9 August 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

most likelyOct 2026Nov 202727 Nov9 Aug
Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When vivo usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year vivo normally picks.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last worked out on 19 Aug 2026. We recheck every day.

What changed our mind

  1. sızıntılar · picked up by Webtekno
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime between January and June 2027

    “İddialara göre 2027'nin ilk yarısında tanıtılması beklenen Oppo Find X10 Ultra ve vivo X500 Ultra modelleri yalnızca Çin pazarında satışa sunulacak.” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 4 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 27 Nov 2026 to 9 Aug 2027 (255 days wide), with a standard deviation of 95 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 9b841bfe1d7902320f03e63a…

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

Vivo X normally launches in China first.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 30 April 2027 On sale First guess

    Worked out on 19 Aug 2026 · range 27 Nov 2026 to 9 Aug 2027 · 9b841bfe1d…

  2. 16 April 2027 Reveal First guess

    Worked out on 19 Aug 2026 · range 14 Nov 2026 to 27 Jul 2027 · 014133cc5b…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.