Xiaomi · 小米 Fold 陶瓷特别版

小米18 Fold

It's official

We will keep this on your list as the date moves.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

7 September 2026

Confirmed · about 4 weeks ago

For the record, we had guessed 13 Sept 2026 — 6 days too late.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.

Reports behind it 2 separate stories Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 13 days earlier Last changed on 6 Sept 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

cnBeta
Reported

Says revealed 1 September 2026

“小米18 Fold将于9月正式上市” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 76 days earlier
IFA现场直击# · picked up by cnBeta
Stated as fact

Says revealed 6 September 2026

“小米首款旗舰中折叠手机小米18 Fold真机迎来全球首秀” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 84 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 6 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 (35 days wide), with a standard deviation of 34 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 871579bb6acd34cf14ee6ec6…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

7 September 2026

Confirmed · about 4 weeks ago

For the record, we had guessed 27 Sept 2026 — 20 days too late.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.

Reports behind it 2 separate stories Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 14 days earlier Last changed on 6 Sept 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

cnBeta
Reported

Says on sale 1 September 2026

“小米18 Fold将于9月正式上市” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 63 days earlier
IFA现场直击# · picked up by cnBeta
Stated as fact

Says on sale 6 September 2026

“小米首款旗舰中折叠手机小米18 Fold真机迎来全球首秀” Read it ↗

Decent track record Moved our date 76 days earlier

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 13 Sept 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (42 days wide), with a standard deviation of 35 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 87d111fcc3af08b6a2c06c44…

Prices reported elsewhere

Currencies we have a price for but no matching launch market. As reported, in the currency they were quoted in — we never convert between currencies, because a converted figure is a number nobody actually printed.

yuan Reported

¥15,999

for the 16GB+1TB model — nobody has priced the entry version yet

Stated as fact, but by only one or two sources.

1 source, 2 reports

What the hardware is

3 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

display

Screen size: 7.2" Rumoured

performance

Chipset: 玄戒O3 Rumoured

memory

Storage: 1024 GB Rumoured

Still unknown: panel type, refresh rate, resolution, ram, main camera, front camera, rear cameras, battery, wired charging, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

Xiaomi normally launches in China first.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

Who called it right

Now that the real date is known, everyone who made a prediction gets marked. "Too late" means they said a later date than what actually happened.

Source	Which date	How far off	Called it	Score
cnBeta	Reveal	1 days too early	1 days ahead	+36.29
cnBeta	On sale	6 days too early	12 days ahead	+27.93

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

27 September 2026 On sale 14 days earlier

Worked out on 6 Sept 2026 · range 13 Sept 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 87d111fcc3…
13 September 2026 Reveal 13 days earlier

Worked out on 6 Sept 2026 · range 6 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 871579bb6a…
11 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 6 Sept 2026 · range 16 Sept 2026 to 1 Sept 2027 · 99b0697729…
26 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 6 Sept 2026 · range 7 Sept 2026 to 19 Aug 2027 · 9278204396…
11 October 2026 On sale 3 days later

Worked out on 6 Sept 2026 · range 16 Sept 2026 to 1 Sept 2027 · 6496ffae0a…
26 September 2026 Reveal 3 days later

Worked out on 6 Sept 2026 · range 7 Sept 2026 to 19 Aug 2027 · a6d26a6c7c…
8 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 5 Sept 2026 · range 14 Sept 2026 to 30 Aug 2027 · cbec83ed5d…
23 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 5 Sept 2026 · range 6 Sept 2026 to 17 Aug 2027 · 65646f23db…
8 October 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

Worked out on 5 Sept 2026 · range 14 Sept 2026 to 30 Aug 2027 · 1d2ba4d1e7…
23 September 2026 Reveal 2 days earlier

Worked out on 5 Sept 2026 · range 6 Sept 2026 to 17 Aug 2027 · 44ed97804a…
9 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 4 Sept 2026 · range 14 Sept 2026 to 30 Aug 2027 · a0724c0af5…
25 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 4 Sept 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 17 Aug 2027 · b2d5869172…
9 October 2026 On sale 2 days earlier

Worked out on 4 Sept 2026 · range 14 Sept 2026 to 30 Aug 2027 · c3cc413c62…
25 September 2026 Reveal 2 days earlier

Worked out on 4 Sept 2026 · range 5 Sept 2026 to 17 Aug 2027 · c0a2b362da…
11 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 3 Sept 2026 · range 13 Sept 2026 to 29 Aug 2027 · 6a112b3abb…
27 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 3 Sept 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 16 Aug 2027 · 682be26d57…
11 October 2026 On sale 3 days later

Worked out on 3 Sept 2026 · range 13 Sept 2026 to 29 Aug 2027 · 1c81e1f120…
27 September 2026 Reveal 4 days later

Worked out on 3 Sept 2026 · range 4 Sept 2026 to 16 Aug 2027 · 950187eaed…
8 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 2 Sept 2026 · range 12 Sept 2026 to 27 Aug 2027 · 50b0c80ab4…
23 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 2 Sept 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 14 Aug 2027 · 78d302dbf8…
8 October 2026 On sale 3 days later

Worked out on 2 Sept 2026 · range 12 Sept 2026 to 27 Aug 2027 · 5ea93582dd…
23 September 2026 Reveal 2 days later

Worked out on 2 Sept 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 14 Aug 2027 · ef58778531…
5 October 2026 On sale 14 days earlier

Worked out on 1 Sept 2026 · range 11 Sept 2026 to 25 Aug 2027 · 4df806dfc4…
21 September 2026 Reveal 15 days earlier

Worked out on 1 Sept 2026 · range 2 Sept 2026 to 11 Aug 2027 · ecc10dea4b…
19 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 1 Sept 2026 · range 13 Sept 2026 to 28 Aug 2027 · 7bd8ad4dd4…
6 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 1 Sept 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 14 Aug 2027 · a1680b82e7…
19 October 2026 On sale 3 days later

Worked out on 1 Sept 2026 · range 13 Sept 2026 to 26 Aug 2027 · d40c609287…
6 October 2026 Reveal 3 days later

Worked out on 1 Sept 2026 · range 3 Sept 2026 to 13 Aug 2027 · 961ddf51a8…
16 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 31 Aug 2026 · range 11 Sept 2026 to 25 Aug 2027 · c3c1eb2f18…
3 October 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 31 Aug 2026 · range 2 Sept 2026 to 12 Aug 2027 · 624a424fdc…
16 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

Worked out on 31 Aug 2026 · range 12 Sept 2026 to 23 Aug 2027 · 7c70d5ef0e…
4 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

Worked out on 31 Aug 2026 · range 2 Sept 2026 to 11 Aug 2027 · 005e39060e…
14 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 30 Aug 2026 · range 10 Sept 2026 to 21 Aug 2027 · 02992732f0…
2 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 30 Aug 2026 · range 1 Sept 2026 to 10 Aug 2027 · 9802dc7ed1…

Other names this device goes by

Codenames used by leakers: 小米18 Fold

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.