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Xiaomi · Mix Fold

Mix Fold 5

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Good guess · Right month, maybe not the day

6 October 2026

tomorrow

Almost certainly between 22 September and 14 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.
Reports behind it 3 separate stories Found across 3 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. GSMArena
    Called a rumour

    Says revealed sometime between January and December 2026

    “It has now allegedly been certified for sale in China by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) with the model number 2608BPX34C.” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Did not move our date

    GSMArena usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.

  2. IT之家 (ITHome)
    Reported

    Says revealed sometime in September 2026

    “MIX Fold 5 预计于 2026 年 9 月正式发布” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 1 day earlier

    IT之家 (ITHome) usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.

  3. many rumors · picked up by GSMArena
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime in August 2026

    “many rumors speculating an August 2026 release timeframe” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 4 days earlier

    many rumors usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 22 Sept 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 (22 days wide), with a standard deviation of 11 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 7ccb92b05c2ff3a101e0c89a…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Fairly sure · Give or take a few days

14 October 2026

in 9 days

Almost certainly between 6 and 25 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.
Reports behind it 3 separate stories Found across 3 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. GSMArena
    Called a rumour

    Says on sale sometime between January and December 2026

    “It has now allegedly been certified for sale in China by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) with the model number 2608BPX34C.” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Did not move our date

    GSMArena usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.

  2. IT之家 (ITHome)
    Reported

    Says on sale sometime in September 2026

    “MIX Fold 5 预计于 2026 年 9 月正式发布” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 1 day earlier

    IT之家 (ITHome) usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.

  3. many rumors · picked up by GSMArena
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime in August 2026

    “many rumors speculating an August 2026 release timeframe” Read it ↗
    Strong track record Moved our date 7 days earlier

    many rumors usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 6 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (19 days wide), with a standard deviation of 10 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 3f826873ff7840ba4c32f5a4…

What the hardware is

8 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

2 specs are reported two different ways. Those rows are marked below.

display

Refresh rate
120 Hz Rumoured
Resolution
1920x2713 Rumoured
Screen size
7.5" Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 7.76"

performance

Chipset
Xring O3 Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 玄戒 O3

camera

Main camera
200 MP Rumoured

battery

Battery
6000 mAh Rumoured 2 sources
Wired charging
100 W Rumoured

body

Ingress protection
IP68 Rumoured

Still unknown: panel type, ram, storage, front camera, rear cameras, height, width, thickness, weight, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

only China reported so far.

Country or region When Price How it was put Who says so
China sometime between January and December 2026 from ¥10,000 Called a rumour 1 source
across 1 report

These are the places that have actually been mentioned in reports about this phone. A country missing from this list has not been ruled out — nobody writing about an unreleased phone lists the countries it is skipping, so we cannot tell either way.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 6 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · 7ccb92b05c…

  2. 14 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 3f826873ff…

  3. 6 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · 933f80208a…

  4. 6 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · 44727320e8…

  5. 13 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · 2b886c1eaf…

  6. 6 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 · 06c2f98235…

  7. 12 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · 6c99dd9589…

  8. 5 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · d4b48da64b…

  9. 11 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 41a9545d2b…

  10. 4 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · d6bdf78583…

  11. 2 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · f92ae95751…

  12. 2 October 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · 707c1109ed…

  13. 10 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · 8bd5a4cdfc…

  14. 3 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · 9b9b2df7a9…

  15. 9 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 585bbe37fe…

  16. 2 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 138f456199…

  17. 8 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · 7a7df48276…

  18. 1 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · 15d9d6505e…

  19. 7 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · be5d8ebd31…

  20. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · 9fcda0fd05…

  21. 7 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · 820f625ccf…

  22. 29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 5 Oct 2026 · 4d92757478…

  23. 6 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · 7108f34bb3…

  24. 28 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 5 Oct 2026 · 8d426e7037…

  25. 5 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · e36026bef4…

  26. 27 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 4 Oct 2026 · 77cffcd965…

  27. 4 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · 03ace0dd98…

  28. 26 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 3 Oct 2026 · 49dd2df5a5…

  29. 4 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · 022339f1f3…

  30. 25 September 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 2 Oct 2026 · 5edf6e275c…

  31. 3 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · 09a7f98295…

  32. 25 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 10 Sept 2026 to 4 Oct 2026 · e43853b9b0…

  33. 2 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · 1f567da8f7…

  34. 24 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 10 Sept 2026 to 3 Oct 2026 · fc40d91af9…

  35. 1 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · 405b0522c3…

  36. 23 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 10 Sept 2026 to 2 Oct 2026 · 975baa6bfc…

  37. 30 September 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · 9bf8977dd7…

  38. 22 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 10 Sept 2026 to 1 Oct 2026 · 87080c0676…

  39. 29 September 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 8992fdb74e…

  40. 21 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 10 Sept 2026 to 30 Sept 2026 · a2537f9b97…

Other names this device goes by

Codenames used by leakers: lhasa

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.