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Xiaomi · Xiaomi

Xiaomi 15

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

22 August 2027

in about 11 months

Almost certainly between 19 October 2026 and 7 October 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started Its own release rhythm This line has launched on a steady schedule, so we started from when the next one is due.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. Canaltech
    Stated as fact

    Says revealed 27 August 2026

    “A segunda leva está marcada para 27 de agosto” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 3 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 19 Oct 2026 to 7 Oct 2027 (353 days wide), with a standard deviation of 129 days. Starting model: series_cadence+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 8910fbc32149d3dc0bf89614…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

3 September 2027

in about 11 months

Almost certainly between 30 October 2026 and 18 October 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 1 article. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. Canaltech
    Stated as fact

    Says on sale 27 August 2026

    “A segunda leva está marcada para 27 de agosto” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 206 days earlier
Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 30 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2027 (353 days wide), with a standard deviation of 130 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash e8e3c1707c172e11d85ad77a…

What the hardware is

Every headline spec is filled in. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

7 specs are reported two different ways. Those rows are marked below.

display

Peak brightness
3200 nits ✓
Pixel density
460 ppi ✓ 2 sources
Cover glass
Xiaomi Shield Glass ✓ 2 sources
Refresh rate
920 Hz Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 120 Hz
Resolution
1200x2670 ✓ 2 sources
Screen size
6.36" ✓ 2 sources
Panel type
AMOLED ✓ 2 sources

performance

CPU cores
2 cores Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 8 cores
GPU
Adreno 830 ✓ 2 sources
Chipset
Snapdragon 8 Elite ✓ 2 sources

memory

RAM
12 GB ✓
microSD slot
No ✓
Storage
256 GB ✓ 2 sources

camera

Front camera
32 MP ✓ 2 sources
Main camera
50 MP ✓ 2 sources
Optical zoom
5x ✓
Rear cameras
3 cameras ✓ 2 sources
Max video
8K Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 4K

battery

Battery
5240 mAh ✓ 2 sources
Wired charging
90 W ✓ 2 sources
Wireless charging support
Yes ✓
Wireless charging
50 W ✓

body

Height
152.3 mm ✓ 2 sources
Ingress protection
IP68 ✓ 2 sources
Materials
Aluminium, Glass ✓ 2 sources
Thickness
152.3 mm Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 8.08 mm
Weight
191 g ✓ 2 sources
Width
152.3 mm Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 71.2 mm
Colours
Black, Green, Lilac, Silver, White ✓ 2 sources

connectivity

3.5mm jack
No ✓
Bluetooth
5.4 Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as 6.0
NFC
Yes ✓ 2 sources
USB
USB-C ✓
Wi-Fi
Wi-Fi 6E Sources disagree 2 sources also reported as Wi-Fi 7
5G
Yes ✓ 2 sources
eSIM
Yes ✓

software

Operating system
Android 15 ✓ 2 sources
OS update support
4 years ✓

Spec data from GSMArena (CC BY 4.0), Tweakers Pricewatch.

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

only China reported so far.

Country or region When Price How it was put Who says so
China around 27 Aug 2026 ± 35 days not known yet Reported 1 source
across 1 report

These are the places that have actually been mentioned in reports about this phone. A country missing from this list has not been ruled out — nobody writing about an unreleased phone lists the countries it is skipping, so we cannot tell either way.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 3 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 30 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2027 · e8e3c1707c…

  2. 22 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 19 Oct 2026 to 7 Oct 2027 · 8910fbc321…

  3. 3 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 28 Oct 2026 to 18 Oct 2027 · 0cbcc15229…

  4. 21 August 2027 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 6 Oct 2027 · 1d4f89bca4…

  5. 2 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 27 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2027 · fdc57b84e8…

  6. 21 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 16 Oct 2026 to 6 Oct 2027 · 164932907e…

  7. 1 September 2027 On sale No change

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 24 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2027 · 2e739359a9…

  8. 20 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 14 Oct 2026 to 6 Oct 2027 · 1a6845e7f8…

  9. 1 September 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 22 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2027 · 76dfe186b0…

  10. 19 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 5 Oct 2027 · 8004810ab3…

  11. 31 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 20 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2027 · 279f2765ae…

  12. 18 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 5 Oct 2027 · ae77366983…

  13. 30 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 18 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2027 · 1420ee6d85…

  14. 17 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 4 Oct 2027 · 6c6f56f073…

  15. 29 August 2027 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 15 Oct 2026 to 15 Oct 2027 · e6e4d38883…

  16. 16 August 2027 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 4 Oct 2027 · 4d7e199c9f…

  17. 27 August 2027 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2027 · bb72be176f…

  18. 15 August 2027 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 3 Oct 2027 · 048cef7349…

  19. 26 August 2027 On sale 319 days later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2027 · d2efbab567…

  20. 13 August 2027 Reveal 317 days later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 3 Oct 2027 · 06da09f824…

  21. 11 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · d79e52de53…

  22. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 30fbba197e…

  23. 9 October 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 4ebccee236…

  24. 29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 6abf0fbcf8…

  25. 10 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · 676d2ebfc8…

  26. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · fecf025a27…

  27. 9 October 2026 On sale 3 days earlier

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · a03c104723…

  28. 29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · abb37d51ac…

  29. 12 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · f307364502…

  30. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · d8bad0fed7…

  31. 11 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · fbc0675656…

  32. 29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · f61803949b…

  33. 10 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 · a27570bf5f…

  34. 28 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · c718da62fb…

  35. 8 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · ac3e3b70fe…

  36. 27 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · cdbec25db4…

  37. 7 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 · 7df2246f33…

  38. 26 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 19 Sept 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · 863dab5c18…

  39. 6 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · 75af26ec58…

  40. 25 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 18 Sept 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · 104306bc2e…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.