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X1

Xiaomi · Xiaomi Fold

Xiaomi 17 Fold

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Early days · Could still move by months

25 October 2026

in about 3 weeks

Almost certainly between 7 October 2026 and 20 May 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started Its own release rhythm This line has launched on a steady schedule, so we started from when the next one is due.
Reports behind it 3 separate stories Found across 3 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time No change Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. Smart Pikachu · picked up by XiaomiTime
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime in July 2026

    “tentatively scheduled for a July 2026 release” Read it ↗
    Brand new source Moved our date 8 days earlier
  2. Digital Chat Station · picked up by XiaomiTime
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says revealed sometime between April and June 2026

    “Q2 and Beyond Releases (Expected Price Increase): - Xiaomi 18 Series - Xiaomi 17 Fold & Xiaomi 17 Flip” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 27 days earlier

    Digital Chat Station usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 9 days earlier before believing it.

  3. XiaomiTime
    Reported

    Says revealed sometime between April and December 2026

    “Lanzamientos a partir del segundo trimestre (aumento de precio previsto): - Xiaomi Serie 18 - Xiaomi 17 Fold y Xiaomi 17 Flip” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 42 days earlier

    XiaomiTime usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 29 days later before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 7 Oct 2026 to 20 May 2027 (225 days wide), with a standard deviation of 90 days. Starting model: series_cadence+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 3b339dc97c7e113d4ee782b6…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Early days · Could still move by months

6 November 2026

in about 5 weeks

Almost certainly between 16 October 2026 and 30 May 2027 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.
Reports behind it 3 separate stories Found across 3 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. Smart Pikachu · picked up by XiaomiTime
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime in July 2026

    “tentatively scheduled for a July 2026 release” Read it ↗
    Brand new source Moved our date 2 days earlier
  2. XiaomiTime
    Reported

    Says on sale sometime between April and December 2026

    “Lanzamientos a partir del segundo trimestre (aumento de precio previsto): - Xiaomi Serie 18 - Xiaomi 17 Fold y Xiaomi 17 Flip” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 35 days earlier

    XiaomiTime usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 29 days later before believing it.

  3. Digital Chat Station · picked up by XiaomiTime
    Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

    Says on sale sometime between April and June 2026

    “Q2 and Beyond Releases (Expected Price Increase): - Xiaomi 18 Series - Xiaomi 17 Fold & Xiaomi 17 Flip” Read it ↗
    Decent track record Moved our date 101 days earlier

    Digital Chat Station usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 9 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 16 Oct 2026 to 30 May 2027 (226 days wide), with a standard deviation of 91 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 36fd108d554722157db3f3cf…

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

only China reported so far.

Country or region When Price How it was put Who says so
China sometime in July 2026 not known yet Called a rumour 1 source
across 1 report

These are the places that have actually been mentioned in reports about this phone. A country missing from this list has not been ruled out — nobody writing about an unreleased phone lists the countries it is skipping, so we cannot tell either way.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 6 November 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 16 Oct 2026 to 30 May 2027 · 36fd108d55…

  2. 25 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 20 May 2027 · 3b339dc97c…

  3. 5 November 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 14 Oct 2026 to 3 May 2027 · 13210c9aff…

  4. 25 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 22 Apr 2027 · 8c7c960bc1…

  5. 4 November 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 13 Mar 2027 · 5e396a31eb…

  6. 24 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 1 Mar 2027 · 7b994c085a…

  7. 2 November 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 12 Oct 2026 to 28 Jan 2027 · db9469b87c…

  8. 23 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 17 Jan 2027 · 8f2481674c…

  9. 1 November 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 11 Jan 2027 · 2216e6ee38…

  10. 21 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 29 Dec 2026 · c597f630a0…

  11. 31 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 4 Jan 2027 · a7be2f4f90…

  12. 20 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 22 Dec 2026 · d90238f652…

  13. 29 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 30 Dec 2026 · c3172ce403…

  14. 18 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 18 Dec 2026 · 172582292a…

  15. 27 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 6 Oct 2026 to 26 Dec 2026 · d57858cf63…

  16. 17 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 14 Dec 2026 · 4a89d2677c…

  17. 25 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 22 Dec 2026 · 631a122fed…

  18. 15 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 11 Dec 2026 · c72ad04bc5…

  19. 23 October 2026 On sale 12 days later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 19 Dec 2026 · 624ae966ff…

  20. 13 October 2026 Reveal 12 days later

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 8 Dec 2026 · d477e29a85…

  21. 11 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · 8793e63d88…

  22. 1 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · f9ada4c1b9…

  23. 10 October 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · a442455552…

  24. 30 September 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · a7838c2772…

  25. 11 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · 7a4f982af8…

  26. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · 7620cd20b7…

  27. 9 October 2026 On sale 4 days earlier

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · a5e38156c1…

  28. 29 September 2026 Reveal 2 days earlier

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 4e15f55b5c…

  29. 13 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 7 Nov 2026 · 5f712f40e9…

  30. 1 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 · 992593ff47…

  31. 12 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 6 Nov 2026 · de5820d798…

  32. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 0089fa6bd3…

  33. 11 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 · e13fc40cd2…

  34. 29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 21 Sept 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · 2f7e36563d…

  35. 9 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 4 Nov 2026 · b2f548b2b2…

  36. 28 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 20 Sept 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · 8a24894bb3…

  37. 8 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 2 Nov 2026 · 2a2dbbd1cc…

  38. 27 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 19 Sept 2026 · range 19 Sept 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 742197129b…

  39. 7 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 1 Nov 2026 · 110b0f1ae3…

  40. 26 September 2026 Reveal 2 days later

    Worked out on 18 Sept 2026 · range 18 Sept 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · 6a92034d0f…

Other names this device goes by

Codenames used by leakers: Xiaomi MIX Fold 5

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.