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Xiaomi · Xiaomi Fold Ceramic Special Edition

Xiaomi 18 Fold Ceramic Special Edition

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Good guess · Right month, maybe not the day

6 October 2026

tomorrow

Almost certainly between 19 September and 12 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. IT之家 (ITHome)
    Stated as fact

    Says revealed 7 September 2026

    “雷军还公布了一款小米 18 Fold 陶瓷特别版” Read it ↗
    Strong track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 313 days earlier

    IT之家 (ITHome) usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 19 Sept 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 (23 days wide), with a standard deviation of 22 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 33e07103efe0796ae101101a…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Fairly sure · Give or take a few days

14 October 2026

in 9 days

Almost certainly between 5 and 25 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.
Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.
Reports behind it 1 separate story Found across 2 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.
Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

  1. IT之家 (ITHome)
    Stated as fact

    Says on sale 7 September 2026

    “雷军还公布了一款小米 18 Fold 陶瓷特别版” Read it ↗
    Strong track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 309 days earlier

    IT之家 (ITHome) usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 5 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (20 days wide), with a standard deviation of 22 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 148894645339210c80904b2b…

Prices reported elsewhere

Currencies we have a price for but no matching launch market. As reported, in the currency they were quoted in — we never convert between currencies, because a converted figure is a number nobody actually printed.

yuan Reported

from ¥10,000

Stated as fact, but by only one or two sources.

1 source, 1 report

What the hardware is

5 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

display

Screen size
5.38" Rumoured

performance

Chipset
Xring O3 Rumoured

camera

Main camera
200 MP Rumoured

battery

Battery
6000 mAh Rumoured
Wired charging
67 W Rumoured
Wireless charging
50 W Rumoured

Still unknown: panel type, refresh rate, resolution, ram, storage, front camera, rear cameras, height, width, thickness, weight, ingress protection, operating system, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Likely one region first Based on how this product line usually launches

This line usually starts in one market and travels later, if it travels at all.

Xiaomi normally launches in China first.

No report so far has named a specific country for this one. That is normal early on: the market is usually only spelled out close to launch.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

  1. 14 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 1488946453…

  2. 6 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 19 Sept 2026 to 12 Oct 2026 · 33e07103ef…

  3. 13 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · 6fca278467…

  4. 5 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 19 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 1c5cb51719…

  5. 12 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 · 45c3650e06…

  6. 4 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · a2f70cf0f5…

  7. 11 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 13dd3c0968…

  8. 3 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · a2ea517f89…

  9. 10 October 2026 On sale 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · 3057d70349…

  10. 2 October 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 20 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 50e8324cf9…

  11. 11 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · 5164900eab…

  12. 3 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 21 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · c9b4c449c7…

  13. 11 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 5094800c0e…

  14. 3 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · c804981bbd…

  15. 2 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · db442194a0…

  16. 2 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 9f11bddf0c…

  17. 10 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · 841bab3556…

  18. 2 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 54eac44168…

  19. 10 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · 47b1247303…

  20. 1 October 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 0c2cf2c878…

  21. 10 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · e3d842ffa1…

  22. 1 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 070415a7af…

  23. 9 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · 898ff294df…

  24. 30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · 7e56fe5cb8…

  25. 8 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 19 Oct 2026 · 587049661d…

  26. 29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · e383030cd4…

  27. 7 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 18 Oct 2026 · 22e2990ffd…

  28. 28 September 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · eab12b9e61…

  29. 7 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · e74709eb5e…

  30. 28 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 5 Oct 2026 · 1c561f3ffb…

  31. 6 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · bfda4275ea…

  32. 6 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 · 1d2875442c…

  33. 27 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 4 Oct 2026 · d030e50af5…

  34. 5 October 2026 On sale 2 days earlier

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · dbae7109ce…

  35. 26 September 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 4 Oct 2026 · ad3b8ae0b3…

  36. 7 October 2026 On sale No change

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · 2cd372173d…

  37. 26 September 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 23 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · b72ff99734…

  38. 26 September 2026 Reveal No change

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · b84ca02a0a…

  39. 7 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 243aa8343e…

  40. 26 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

    Worked out on 22 Sept 2026 · range 22 Sept 2026 to 9 Oct 2026 · 0b12410431…

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.