Xiaomi · Xiaomi

Xiaomi 18

Not out yet. Here is when we think it lands, and exactly why we think so.

We will keep this on your list as the date moves.

Reveal

The day it is shown to the world

Fairly sure · Give or take a few days

9 October 2026

in 4 days

Almost certainly between 5 and 16 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started Its own release rhythm This line has launched on a steady schedule, so we started from when the next one is due.

Reports behind it 13 separate stories Found across 21 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

GizmoChina
Stated as fact

Says revealed sometime between October and December 2026

“Before the Pro series event, Xiaomi Group co-founder and president Lu Weibing confirmed on Weibo that the standard Xiaomi 18 would launch separately, later in the year.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 1 day later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
@数码闲聊站 · picked up by IT之家 (ITHome)
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed sometime in December 2026

“今年 8 月 @数码闲聊站爆料的消息称，预计为小米的“某厂”神秘新机将会是 Pro 系列先行，标准版暂定 12 月登场” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 1 day later

@数码闲聊站 usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says revealed sometime in December 2026

“the standard Xiaomi 18 may arrive later in December” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 1 day later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
insiders · picked up by Ferra.ru
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed sometime in December 2026

“базовый Xiaomi 18 выйдет в декабре” Read it ↗

Decent track record +1 site repeated it Did not move our date

insiders usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says revealed sometime in December 2026

“The standard Xiaomi 18, meanwhile, is expected to debut alongside the Xiaomi 18 Ultra in December.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Did not move our date

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
Weibo · picked up by IT之家 (ITHome)
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed sometime in December 2026

“据微博博主 @熊猫很禿然今日透露，小米 18 标准版预计将搭载 6.4 英寸 1.5K M11 直屏，预计 12 月左右发布。” Read it ↗

Brand new source Did not move our date

Weibo usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
Leaks · picked up by WinFuture
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed between 20 Sept 2026 and 10 Oct 2026

“Bereits ab Ende September bzw. Anfang Oktober dürften diverse Anbieter von Android-Geräten ihre neuen Topmodelle mit den neuen Chips vorstellen, darunter allen voran Xiaomi, wo die neuen SoCs die Basis der Xiaomi-18-Ser…” Read it ↗

Brand new source Did not move our date

Leaks usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 14 days earlier before believing it.
XiaomiTime
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says revealed between 1 Oct 2026 and 31 Mar 2027

“the standard Xiaomi 18 may arrive later” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date

XiaomiTime usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 29 days later before believing it.
XiaomiTime
Reported

Says revealed sometime between April and December 2026

“Lanzamientos a partir del segundo trimestre (aumento de precio previsto): - Xiaomi Serie 18” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date

XiaomiTime usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 29 days later before believing it.
GSMArena
Reported

Says revealed sometime in September 2026

“the Xiaomi 18, 18 Pro and 18 Pro Max are expected to be unveiled in September” Read it ↗

Strong track record +7 sites repeated it Moved our date 2 days earlier

GSMArena usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says revealed 27 September 2026

“The Xiaomi 18 series is reportedly expected to introduce the chipset ahead of Honor.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 2 days earlier

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
Android Headlines
Reported

Says revealed sometime in September 2026

“the same goes for the Xiaomi 18 series.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 2 days earlier

Android Headlines usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 9 days earlier before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says revealed between 22 Sept 2026 and 24 Sept 2026

“The new phones will be introduced around Qualcomm’s Snapdragon Summit, which runs from September 22 to 24.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 14 days earlier

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 5 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 (11 days wide), with a standard deviation of 5 days. Starting model: series_cadence+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash b7ed89843a44dc94b14419f7…

On sale

The day you can actually buy one

Fairly sure · Give or take a few days

21 October 2026

in about 2 weeks

Almost certainly between 13 and 29 October 2026 — that is where eight out of ten of our guesses land.

Where it will almost certainly land Still possible, but unlikelyThe higher the shape, the more likely that date.

Where we started When Xiaomi usually launches No pattern for this model yet, so we started from the time of year Xiaomi normally picks.

Reports behind it 13 separate stories Found across 21 articles. When several sites repeat the same leak, we count it once — otherwise one rumour would look like proof.

Since last time 1 day later Last changed on 5 Oct 2026. We recheck every day, and only write a new forecast down when this answer moves.

What changed our mind

GizmoChina
Reported

Says on sale sometime in December 2026

“The standard Xiaomi 18, meanwhile, is expected to debut alongside the Xiaomi 18 Ultra in December.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 8 days later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says on sale sometime in December 2026

“the standard Xiaomi 18 may arrive later in December” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 4 days later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
GizmoChina
Stated as fact

Says on sale sometime between October and December 2026

“Before the Pro series event, Xiaomi Group co-founder and president Lu Weibing confirmed on Weibo that the standard Xiaomi 18 would launch separately, later in the year.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 2 days later

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
@数码闲聊站 · picked up by IT之家 (ITHome)
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale sometime in December 2026

“今年 8 月 @数码闲聊站爆料的消息称，预计为小米的“某厂”神秘新机将会是 Pro 系列先行，标准版暂定 12 月登场” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 2 days later

@数码闲聊站 usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 2 days earlier before believing it.
insiders · picked up by Ferra.ru
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale sometime in December 2026

“базовый Xiaomi 18 выйдет в декабре” Read it ↗

Decent track record +1 site repeated it Moved our date 1 day later

insiders usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
Weibo · picked up by IT之家 (ITHome)
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale sometime in December 2026

“据微博博主 @熊猫很禿然今日透露，小米 18 标准版预计将搭载 6.4 英寸 1.5K M11 直屏，预计 12 月左右发布。” Read it ↗

Brand new source Did not move our date

Weibo usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
Leaks · picked up by WinFuture
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale between 20 Sept 2026 and 10 Oct 2026

“Bereits ab Ende September bzw. Anfang Oktober dürften diverse Anbieter von Android-Geräten ihre neuen Topmodelle mit den neuen Chips vorstellen, darunter allen voran Xiaomi, wo die neuen SoCs die Basis der Xiaomi-18-Ser…” Read it ↗

Brand new source Did not move our date

Leaks usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 14 days earlier before believing it.
XiaomiTime
Called a rumour Heard it from someone else

Says on sale between 1 Oct 2026 and 31 Mar 2027

“the standard Xiaomi 18 may arrive later” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date

XiaomiTime usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 29 days later before believing it.
XiaomiTime
Reported

Says on sale sometime between April and December 2026

“Lanzamientos a partir del segundo trimestre (aumento de precio previsto): - Xiaomi Serie 18” Read it ↗

Decent track record Did not move our date

XiaomiTime usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 29 days later before believing it.
GSMArena
Reported

Says on sale sometime in September 2026

“the Xiaomi 18, 18 Pro and 18 Pro Max are expected to be unveiled in September” Read it ↗

Strong track record +7 sites repeated it Moved our date 4 days earlier

GSMArena usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 1 days earlier before believing it.
Android Headlines
Reported

Says on sale sometime in September 2026

“the same goes for the Xiaomi 18 series.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 4 days earlier

Android Headlines usually calls things later than they happen, so we pulled this 9 days earlier before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says on sale between 22 Sept 2026 and 24 Sept 2026

“The new phones will be introduced around Qualcomm’s Snapdragon Summit, which runs from September 22 to 24.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 5 days earlier

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.
GizmoChina
Reported

Says on sale 27 September 2026

“The Xiaomi 18 series is reportedly expected to introduce the chipset ahead of Honor.” Read it ↗

Strong track record Moved our date 16 days earlier

GizmoChina usually calls things earlier than they happen, so we pushed this 1 days later before believing it.

Numbers, for the curious

The 80% range runs 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (16 days wide), with a standard deviation of 6 days. Starting model: manufacturer_seasonal+coupled (reveal and on-sale dates were solved together, so neither can end up before the other).

Ledger hash 1ffcf01b914676f8d61d06b8…

What the hardware is

10 of 20 headline specs known so far. Values from a spec database describe a phone that exists; values from articles are what sources claim about one that does not yet. Each row says which it is, and where sources contradict each other we print both figures rather than choosing.

1 spec is reported two different ways. Those rows are marked below.

display

Resolution: 1.5K Rumoured 2 sources
Screen size: 6.4" Rumoured 2 sources

performance

Chipset: Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 6 Sources disagree 3 sources also reported as 骁龙 8 Elite Gen 6, 骁龙 8 Elite Gen 6

memory

Storage: 256 GB Rumoured

camera

Front camera: 50 MP Rumoured
Main camera: 200 MP Rumoured 2 sources

battery

Battery: 7200 mAh Rumoured 2 sources
Wired charging: 100 W Rumoured 2 sources

body

Ingress protection: IP68 Rumoured

software

Operating system: HyperOS 4 Rumoured

Still unknown: panel type, refresh rate, ram, rear cameras, height, width, thickness, weight, 5g, nfc.

Where you will be able to buy it

Not known yet Not enough to go on yet

No report so far says which countries this one is for.

reports so far do not settle where it goes on sale.

Country or region	When	Price	How it was put	Who says so
China	27 September 2026	not known yet	Reported	2 sources across 10 reports, they disagree quite a bit

These are the places that have actually been mentioned in reports about this phone. A country missing from this list has not been ruled out — nobody writing about an unreleased phone lists the countries it is skipping, so we cannot tell either way.

How this date has moved

Every time we changed our mind, we wrote it down and never touched it again.

21 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 13 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 1ffcf01b91…
9 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 5 Oct 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · b7ed89843a…
8 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 4 Oct 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 16 Oct 2026 · 853d33e4fe…
20 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 12 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 · 78d66e5c4e…
20 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 12 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 · 2946aa3b58…
8 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 3 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · a024fc8e15…
20 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 · a9421be979…
19 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 11 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 · c6b2db9ebe…
7 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 2 Oct 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 15 Oct 2026 · dde9f73f30…
19 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · df5bb4aeff…
6 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 14 Oct 2026 · 355da168ba…
6 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 1 Oct 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · 10bd357570…
18 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 10 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 · 9002336d26…
6 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 30 Sept 2026 · range 1 Oct 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · 8b895e796e…
18 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 9 Oct 2026 to 26 Oct 2026 · edfabeeacc…
5 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 13 Oct 2026 · 6a297b04b4…
16 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 7087f0e44c…
4 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 7d36372445…
16 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 · 682ea118d2…
4 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 29 Sept 2026 · range 30 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 89e859a5c5…
16 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · 2839c9b54e…
4 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · e7203f4b94…
16 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · cc387b850c…
3 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 9ee9258d54…
16 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 8 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · 0b8d4b6c37…
3 October 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 28 Sept 2026 · range 29 Sept 2026 to 11 Oct 2026 · 748a9437af…
15 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 7 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 · b5bea393b4…
3 October 2026 Reveal 2 days later

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 28 Sept 2026 to 10 Oct 2026 · 753aa3fda4…
13 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 5 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 5ff40be8b1…
1 October 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 27 Sept 2026 · range 27 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · a5d9e56a4d…
30 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 8 Oct 2026 · 536f0361e8…
12 October 2026 On sale 1 day later

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 · b91e08bdfb…
30 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 26 Sept 2026 · range 26 Sept 2026 to 7 Oct 2026 · 8a489862b3…
29 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 25 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · 9816fc8610…
29 September 2026 Reveal No change

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · ac5a160f16…
11 October 2026 On sale No change

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 3 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · d02ea95d02…
29 September 2026 Reveal 1 day later

Worked out on 24 Sept 2026 · range 25 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · 5b20e2faf7…
11 October 2026 On sale 2 days earlier

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 2 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 · f29f98dbe9…
28 September 2026 Reveal 1 day earlier

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 24 Sept 2026 to 6 Oct 2026 · d66691eb6d…
13 October 2026 On sale 2 days later

Worked out on 23 Sept 2026 · range 4 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 · 1be7547593…

Other names this device goes by

Codenames used by leakers: venice, 小米 18 标准版

Not sure what any of this means? Here is how it all works, in plain English.